Your Recommendations — Milly Metrics

Your Read

what your book is telling you

AI · grounded in your numbers

Your DraftKings book — the read.

Your 25-team DraftKings book beats the market — your teams average an Upside Score of 62 against the field's 50. Correlation is the story: your 25 entries behave like just 21 independent title shots, about 4 teams of redundancy, and you lean heavily on MIA (52% of your book). That grades higher than your Underdog book (58), so your DraftKings teams are the stronger side right now. DraftKings runs 20 rounds at full PPR with yardage bonuses and deeper rosters — its winning shape skews ~3 QB / 6 RB / 9 WR / 3 TE (RB-heavy, WR-heavy). Priorities from here: diversify away from MIA to raise your effective team count; fade your biggest exposure (Eli Stowers 56%); add under-owned upside like Josh Allen (4% owned, 100 upside).

Under the hood

the metrics behind each score · your real numbers

Build Score

how you built

Draft Capital42

percentile vs field · top third = 67+

Lineup Depth37

percentile vs field · top third = 67+

Stack Quality, Reg. Season59

percentile vs field · top third = 67+

Stack Quality, Playoffs72

reg-season + Week 17 · top third = 67+

Exposure Score

how it's spread

Exposure Shape54

round-by-round exposure balance · higher = better

Exposure Availability36

fair · players live into the finals · higher = better

Exposure Uniquenesscalibrating

unlocks as the community grows

Upside Score

ceiling you drafted

Rounds 1–585

avg player upside · weight 15% · top third = 67+

Rounds 6–1066

avg player upside · weight 20% · top third = 67+

Rounds 11–1555

avg player upside · weight 30% · top third = 67+

Rounds 16–1854

avg player upside · weight 35% · top third = 67+

Book CLVn/a

no pick order on this view

Your draft plan

going forward

Teams to target

top offenses you're under-exposed to · your share

1#2 offLAR4%

2#3 offDET4%

3#5 offBUF4%

4#4 offDAL8%

5#6 offBAL8%

6#10 offKC8%

7#7 offSEA16%

8#9 offNE16%

9#1 offCIN20%

10#13 offDEN20%

Show all 10 ▾

ADD

LAR — you need shares

Projected as the #2 offense, and you're at 4% exposure. Get some — ideally as a finals-week stack.

+ Upside+ Build

ADD

DET — you need shares

Projected as the #3 offense, and you're at 4% exposure. Get some — ideally as a finals-week stack.

+ Upside+ Build

FADE

You're over-exposed to Parker Washington — 48% of your book

That's above the 30% cap for a Round 5 pick. An early-round bust sinks every team it's on at once — leave Parker Washington off your next builds to pull back toward the cap.

+ Exposure

FADE

You're over-exposed to MIA — 52% of your book

The next few teams should skip it. When one offense is on most of your entries, most of your book rises and falls together.

+ Exposure

FIX

Availability risk: Eli Stowers — 56% of your book

You're heavy on a late-round TE whose availability (health × play-time) sits below the field at that ADP. Same position, same draft cost, higher availability: swap toward Jeremy Ruckert — it lifts Exposure Availability and leaves your exposure shape unchanged.

+ Exposure

FIX

Availability risk: Malik Willis — 44% of your book

You're heavy on a late-round QB whose availability (health × play-time) sits below the field at that ADP. Same position, same draft cost, higher availability: swap toward Sam Darnold — it lifts Exposure Availability and leaves your exposure shape unchanged.

+ Exposure

↑ If you draft the 4 recommended teams

Build Score 55 → 64Exposure Score 46 Upside Score 62 Finals chance 6.6% → 7.6%

Real projection — the recommended teams are drafted into your book and the full season is re-simulated.

Stacks to target

by leverage · your exposure

1Matthew Stafford + Puka Nacua0% owned

2Josh Allen + Dj Moore0% owned

3Drake Maye + A.J. Brown0% owned

4Dak Prescott + CeeDee Lamb0% owned

5Patrick Mahomes + Rashee Rice0% owned

6Dak Prescott + George Pickens0% owned

7Lamar Jackson + Mark Andrews0% owned

8Caleb Williams + Rome Odunze0% owned

9Jared Goff + Jameson Williams0% owned

10Matthew Stafford + Davante Adams0% owned

Show all 10 ▾

Players to target

by leverage · your exposure

1WRTetairoa Mcmillan0% owned

2RBJavonte Williams0% owned

3WRDavante Adams0% owned

4WRRashee Rice0% owned

5RBJosh Jacobs4%

6RBKyren Williams4%

7RBJeremiyah Love4%

8WRGarrett Wilson0% owned

9WRJameson Williams0% owned

10RBTravis Etienne0% owned

11TETrey McBride4%

12RBBreece Hall4%

13QBJosh Allen4%

14TETyler Warren4%

15RBJadarian Price0% owned

16TEKyle Pitts0% owned

17WRCourtland Sutton0% owned

18TETravis Kelce0% owned

19WRDj Moore0% owned

20WRZay Flowers8%

Show all 20 ▾

Target and Fade Board

where to lean in and where to pull back, by draft round

▲ Target — under-exposed, lean in▼ Fade — over your round cap

Rd 1-2

—

RBChase Brown32% > 25% cap

Rd 3-4

WRTetairoa Mcmillan0% own

RBJavonte Williams0% own

WRRashee Rice0% own

RBJosh Jacobs4% own

TEColston Loveland28% > 25% cap

Rd 5-6

WRDavante Adams0% own

WRJameson Williams0% own

TETyler Warren4% own

RBJadarian Price0% own

WRParker Washington48% > 30% cap

Rd 7-8

TEKyle Pitts0% own

WRCourtland Sutton0% own

WRDk Metcalf0% own

RBTony Pollard0% own

clear

Rd 9-12

TETravis Kelce0% own

WRMichael Pittman0% own

RBJk Dobbins0% own

TEJake Ferguson0% own

QBMalik Willis44% > 35% cap

WRMakai Lemon36% > 35% cap

Rd 13+

TEHunter Henry0% own

TEDalton Schultz0% own

TECade Otton0% own

TEChig Okonkwo0% own

TEEli Stowers56% > 40% cap

RBJonah Coleman44% > 35% cap

RBSean Tucker48% > 40% cap

For a deeper dive into your Targets and Fades, click here →

Playoffs

win-your-pod (win Wk15, 16 & 17)

15-17

The full finals run

stacks that cover all three weeks

Josh Allen + Dj Moore0% owned

BUF finals-run stack — correlated across the finals weeks.

covers wk15 · wk16 · wk17

Matthew Stafford + Puka Nacua0% owned

LAR finals-run stack — correlated across the finals weeks.

covers wk15 · wk16 · wk17

Drake Maye + A.J. Brown0% owned

NE finals-run stack — correlated across the finals weeks.

covers wk15 · wk16 · wk17

WK 17

Championship week

highest-ceiling title-week games

PHI vs. SFWk17 ceiling

Highest-ceiling Week 17 matchup you can stack for the title week.

title week · highest weight

BAL vs. CINWk17 ceiling

Highest-ceiling Week 17 matchup you can stack for the title week.

title week · highest weight

DET vs. CHIWk17 ceiling

Highest-ceiling Week 17 matchup you can stack for the title week.

title week · highest weight

Your real portfolio. 25 DraftKings lineups · three rings scored on metric map v3 · volatility & correlations = nflverse 2021-2025 · field = ADP-drafted sim · what-if = live re-simulation.